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Thursday, September 13, 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect | Kawartha 411
src: www.kawartha411.ca

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch (SAME code: SVA) is issued when weather conditions are favorable for the development of severe thunderstorms. If thunderstorms are expected to be of sufficient strength such that there is a significant risk that they may produce tornadoes, then a Tornado Watch (which also automatically implies that severe thunderstorms are possible) is issued. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch can also be upgraded to a Tornado Watch if conditions originally forecasted for limited to no tornadic development change to allow possible tornado formation (in which case the existing severe thunderstorm watch, or a portion of it, would be replaced). A watch must not be confused with a Severe Thunderstorm Warning.

A watch does not necessarily mean that severe weather is actually occurring, only that atmospheric conditions have created a significant risk for severe weather to occur. If severe weather actually does occur, a severe thunderstorm warning or tornado warning will be issued, and urgent action should be taken immediately. While a severe thunderstorm watch does not imply in its name the risk for tornadoes, the risk for tornadoes in such a scenario is not necessarily zero as severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do spawn tornadoes even after only a severe thunderstorm watch has been issued.

In the United States, the Storm Prediction Center (a national guidance center of the National Weather Service (NWS)) issues watches for areas of the lower 48 states that are likely to produce tornadoes and/or severe thunderstorms. The local NWS forecast offices in Hawaii and Alaska issue their own Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Watches.

The terms "blue box" and "yellow box" refer to the assigned coloring used for watch box outlines used in Storm Prediction Center and National Weather Service products as well as by television broadcast media (in the case of the latter, blue is typically assigned to highlight severe thunderstorm watches whereas yellow is often assigned to severe thunderstorm warnings).

The watch boxes (or weather watches, WWs) are usually issued in the format of x miles north and south, or east and west, or either side of a line from y miles direction of city, state, to z miles another direction of another city, state. For example: "50 miles either side of a line from 10 miles northeast of Columbia, South Carolina to 15 miles south-southwest of Montgomery, Alabama". ("Either side" means perpendicular to the center line.) When displayed on a map, they are usually shown as either a blue or yellow outline, depending on the source. In addition, a list of all counties included in its area of responsibility is now issued by each local NWS forecast office for each watch.

In the event that a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely to lead to very destructive winds or hail (usually from a major derecho event), enhanced wording with the words Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) can be added to the watch. This is rare with Severe Thunderstorm Watches, since the tornado threat has to remain low enough to only warrant a Severe Thunderstorm Watch and a higher tornado threat would warrant a normal Tornado Watch despite the extreme wind or hail threat. It is far more common with Tornado Watches.

Similar watches and warnings are issued by Environment Canada's Meteorological Service of Canada from their offices in Vancouver, Edmonton, Toronto, Montreal, and Dartmouth, Nova Scotia.


Video Severe thunderstorm watch



Watch Outline Updates and Status Messages

Watch Outline Updates are relayed (and at the initial watch issuance, issued) by the Storm Prediction Center, however it is the local National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices that decide what counties (in their warning area) are included or excluded in the watch, via a conference call with the SPC. As a result, watch products will sometimes display counties inside the watch outline that are not included in the counties listed, and vice versa; however the local Weather Forecast Office will need to expand to add these counties into the watch. A Watch Status Message works in a similar fashion; the SPC designates which areas it thinks where a threat still exists (the most common designation for this is on the basis of the location of surface features such as cold fronts and drylines that would delineate where the threat of severe thunderstorms has ended and where it will remain a possibility), and the NWS offices decide what counties to remove from the watch (the local offices will almost always follow the SPC recommendation on the status messages). If conditions are no longer favorable for tornadoes in the watch area, the severe thunderstorm watch may be cancelled outright; if no thunderstorm activity occurs or if thunderstorms that develop remain under severe criteria, this leads to a severe thunderstorm watch "bust", which may also factor into the Storm Prediction Center's decision as to whether to cancel the watch.


Maps Severe thunderstorm watch



Example of a severe thunderstorm watch

The following severe thunderstorm watch was issued for a large portion of the Northern Oklahoma and portions of Kansas and Missouri on April 25, 2017.

 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 159    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK    555 PM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017  
  The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a  
  * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of       Southeast Kansas      Western Missouri      Central and eastern Oklahoma  
  * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning from 555      PM until 200 AM CDT.  
  * Primary threats include...      Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events        to 3 inches in diameter possible      Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible      A tornado or two possible  
  SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop    and intensify through the early/mid-evening hours, initially from    central and northeast Oklahoma into far southeast Kansas. Large hail    and damaging winds should be the most common hazard, although some    tornado risk may exist as low-level moisture and low-shear both    increase this evening.  
  The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80    statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles northwest of    Oklahoma City OK to 50 miles north northeast of Joplin MO. For a    complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline    update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).  
  PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce    tornadoes.  
  &&  
  AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to    3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector    23035.  

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Issued for West Tennessee - WBBJ TV
src: www.wbbjtv.com


Example of Severe Thunderstorm Watch with PDS

  URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 405    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK    840 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011        THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF                PARTS OF NORTHWEST IOWA           PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS           MUCH OF EASTERN NEBRASKA           SMALL PART OF SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA        EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 840 PM UNTIL    200 AM CDT.        ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...        WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS    WIND GUSTS TO 90 MPH LIKELY    SCATTERED LARGE HAIL    ISOLATED HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE    ISOLATED TORNADOES        THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75    STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF    SIOUX CITY IOWA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF RUSSELL KANSAS.     FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH    OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).        REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE    FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH    AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR    THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS    AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY    DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.        OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 402...WW 403...        DISCUSSION...INTENSE SQUALL LINE HAS DEVELOPED N/S ACROSS CENTRAL    NEB AND CONTINUES TO DEVELOP SWD AS IT MOVES EWD. VERY STRONG PRES    RISE/FALL COUPLET IS DRIVING THE LINE EWD WITH THE FORCING FROM    LARGE SCALE TROUGH ROTATING ACROSS THE NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS PROVIDING    BOTH SHEAR AND UPWARD MOTION TO RESULT IN POTENTIAL FOR VERY    DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION BRIEF TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE BUT    DAMAGING WINDS NOW ARE THE DOMINANT THREAT.        AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT    TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 80    KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM    MOTION VECTOR 23040.           ...HALES  

Stay 4Warned: Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 10 p.m. ...
src: localtvkfor.files.wordpress.com


Example of a Watch Outline Update

  BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 271    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK    1135 AM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013        SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 271 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT    FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS        CTC003-005-030000-    /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0271.130602T1535Z-130603T0000Z/        CT     .    CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE        HARTFORD             LITCHFIELD                  MAC003-011-013-015-017-027-030000-    /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0271.130602T1535Z-130603T0000Z/        MA     .    MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE        BERKSHIRE            FRANKLIN            HAMPDEN                 HAMPSHIRE            MIDDLESEX           WORCESTER                       MEC001-003-005-007-011-017-019-021-025-031-030000-    /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0271.130602T1535Z-130603T0000Z/        ME     .    MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE        ANDROSCOGGIN         AROOSTOOK           CUMBERLAND              FRANKLIN             KENNEBEC            OXFORD                  PENOBSCOT            PISCATAQUIS         SOMERSET                YORK                             NHC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-030000-    /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0271.130602T1535Z-130603T0000Z/        NH     .    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE        BELKNAP              CARROLL             CHESHIRE                COOS                 GRAFTON             HILLSBOROUGH            MERRIMACK            ROCKINGHAM          STRAFFORD               SULLIVAN                         NYC001-019-021-027-031-035-039-057-083-091-093-095-111-113-115-    030000-    /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0271.130602T1535Z-130603T0000Z/        NY     .    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE        ALBANY               CLINTON             COLUMBIA                DUTCHESS             ESSEX               FULTON                  GREENE               MONTGOMERY          RENSSELAER              SARATOGA             SCHENECTADY         SCHOHARIE               ULSTER               WARREN              WASHINGTON                      VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-    030000-    /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0271.130602T1535Z-130603T0000Z/        VT     .    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE        ADDISON              BENNINGTON          CALEDONIA               CHITTENDEN           ESSEX               FRANKLIN                GRAND ISLE           LAMOILLE            ORANGE                  ORLEANS              RUTLAND             WASHINGTON              WINDHAM              WINDSOR                         ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...ALY...GYX...CAR...  

Storm Watch Weather Alert: Tuesday's Severe Thunderstorm Warning ...
src: i.ytimg.com


References


Severe thunderstorm watch issued in 7 N.J. counties | NJ.com
src: media.nj.com


External links

  • Meteorological Service of Canada
  • Current U.S. Watches

Source of article : Wikipedia